Will Britain’s drought continue into November as high pressure takes hold?

October brought much-needed rain after months of drought, but reservoirs remain critically low. With high pressure set to dominate November, could Britain’s water crisis deepen?

The arrival of Storms Austen and Boelo brought a welcome change after an exceptionally dry summer, with substantial rainfall recorded across much of the UK. However, while the downpours have improved conditions in some areas, they have not been enough to replenish depleted water supplies.

Now, with high pressure expected to dominate the opening of November, another prolonged period of largely dry weather is forecast. This could place further pressure on drought-hit regions, raising concerns about how long the recovery will take.

Why hasn’t October’s rainfall ended the drought?

Despite the recent heavy rain, much of England and Wales remains in drought, with parts of southern England still experiencing severe drought.

England received 111% of its long-term average rainfall during October, while some areas of southern England recorded almost 50% more rain than usual. The Environment Agency also reported that the recent week was the wettest across England since October 2024.

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However, rainfall totals alone do not determine whether a drought has ended. Following months of exceptionally dry weather, …….