Author: Helena Mottram
Climate Signals (31) Δ27 Variable 1 – Global energy imbalance / OHC (1) Δ27 Variable 2 – Global mean surface temperature anomaly (5) Δ27 Variable 3 – Atmospheric CO₂e concentration (CO₂ + CH₄ + N₂O) (7) Δ27 Variable 5 – Marine heatwaves (14) Δ27 Variable 6-Marine biomass & deoxygenation (3) Δ27 Variable 7 – Greenland Ice Sheet stability (3) Δ27 Variable 8_West Antarctic Ice Sheet stability (5) Δ27 Variable 9-Arctic sea ice extent/thickness (6) Δ27 Variable 10 – Permafrost thaw & carbon emissions (1) Δ27 Variable 11 – Amazon rainforest dieback risk (1) Δ27 Variable 12 – Boreal biome shift (net) (1) Δ27 Variable 13 – Freshwater stress & groundwater depletion (5) Δ27 Variable 14-AMOC strength (4) Δ27 Variable 15-Monsoon systems stability (6) Δ27 Variable 16-Wildfire burned area / fire weather index (6) Δ27 Variable 17 – Global staple crop yields & stocks-to-use (4) Δ27 Variable 18 – Urban/megacity water security (Day-Zero risk) (2) Δ27 Variable 20 – Energy system reliability & EROEI / grid stability (5) Δ27 Variable 22 Insurance retreat & financial climate risk (2) Δ27 Variable 23 – Extreme-heat exposure (wet-bulb population-days) (11) Δ27 Variable 24 – Public-health capacity incl. AMR & pandemic emergence (1) Δ27 Variable 25 – Mass displacement (forced migration volume) (1) Δ27 Variable 26 – Conflict & instability risk (climate-linked) (1) Δ27 Variable 27 – Epistemic resilience (mis/disinformation & media capture) (9) ⚙️ Energy, Infrastructure & Material Flow (7) 🌊 Oceanic Equilibrium & Acidification (17) 🌍 Atmospheric Forcing & Planetary Energy Balance (13) 🌪 Atmospheric Circulation & Regional Climate Stability (16) 🌱 Carbon & Hydrological Feedback Loops (7) 🌾 Food, Water & Resource Security (7) 🧊 Cryosphere Integrity & Sea-Level Commitment (9) 🧠 Knowledge Integrity & Governance Resilience (9) 🧬 Human Stability & Adaptive Capacity (14)
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El Niño strengthens and could reach exceptional intensity: risk of extreme weather events increases through 2027
El Niño will continue to strengthen over the coming months and could reach very strong intensity towards the end of the year. The WMO…
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Philippines hit by tornado that destroys dozens of homes in Cabugao
A powerful tornado has touched down in the Philippine municipality of Cabugao, where it lifted roofs, trees and numerous objects in its path. The…
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“Suspiciously quiet over the Atlantic” – and a giant in the Pacific is already writing our winter forecast
The major storm wave over the Atlantic is failing to materialise – right in the middle of hurricane season. What sounds like good news…
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Beyond drought: poor water quality will worsen global scarcity and competition for water resources
Climate change is largely responsible for water scarcity, and a clear example can be seen in the low water levels in European rivers this…
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A study reveals how atmospheric dryness limits rainfall from typhoons and tropical cyclones
Rising temperatures allow the atmosphere to hold more moisture, which, combined with intensifying storms, should theoretically trigger more destructive downpours. However, when analysing climate…
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A weakening of the Atlantic Ocean current system, the AMOC, could accelerate global warming.
A system of currents in the Atlantic Ocean that shapes regional climates and distributes ocean nutrients also acts as a control mechanism that helps…
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Hurricane Hunter data reveals the first signs of strengthening tropical cyclones
Nearly three decades of airborne radar observations have identified four characteristics that help tropical storms align before intensifying.Hurricane Melissa rapidly intensified after forming on…