Helion Archive Temporal transmission from 2090

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Climate change quadrupled the likelihood of Hurricane Melissa becoming so powerful

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ORIGIN: https://www.yourweather.co.uk/news/

Hurricane Melissa, which struck Jamaica as one of the most powerful Category 5 hurricanes ever recorded, was four times more likely to occur due to human-caused climate change, according to a rapid analysis.

Natural color image from October 28, 2025, showing Hurricane Melissa hitting Jamaica. NASANatural color image from October 28, 2025, showing Hurricane Melissa hitting Jamaica. NASA

Warming caused primarily by the burning of fossil fuels has increased both the likelihood and intensity of devastating Category 5 hurricanes, according to a study by scientists at Imperial College London.

“Jamaica had ample time and experience to prepare for this hurricane, but there are limits to how countries can prepare and adapt,” said Ralf Toumi, director of the Grantham Institute at Imperial College, which led the study.

“Adapting to climate change is vital, but it is not a sufficient response to global warming. We also need to stop greenhouse gas emissions.”

Modelling Melissa

Using a peer-reviewed model that plots millions of theoretical tropical storm paths under varying climate conditions, the team found that in a cooler world, a Melissa-type hurricane would make landfall in Jamaica roughly every 8,100 years, but that

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